Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.263511 4.734217 5.237568 5.816301 6.463880 7.166787 7.988384
2026-02-01 3.431733 4.066568 4.793626 5.689758 6.767181 8.024083 9.606262
2026-02-08 2.864379 3.579646 4.446283 5.577792 7.022330 8.812963 11.213598
2026-02-15 2.478954 3.240093 4.207328 5.533750 7.316613 9.645673 12.944390
2026-02-22 2.247347 3.055026 4.125277 5.658080 7.814860 10.767756 15.162108
2026-03-01 2.012466 2.830914 3.955804 5.629451 8.081527 11.581477 17.025198
2026-03-08 1.778804 2.578671 3.714037 5.461313 8.115063 12.046665 18.409792
2026-03-15 1.616353 2.409137 3.568488 5.409543 8.301153 12.737303 20.190913
2026-03-22 1.523411 2.331460 3.547230 5.536826 8.764307 13.885578 22.808978
2026-03-29 1.442513 2.262892 3.530530 5.664495 9.233291 15.080016 25.626300
2026-04-05 1.348096 2.163339 3.454299 5.685033 9.522563 15.999280 28.066153
2026-04-12 1.247260 2.043910 3.334346 5.618867 9.653651 16.655050 30.101507
2026-04-19 1.148995 1.922437 3.203817 5.527783 9.741630 17.260416 32.149096
2026-04-26 1.059910 1.809155 3.077638 5.432495 9.812498 17.842249 34.224348
2026-05-03 0.979877 1.704762 2.957715 5.336394 9.870527 18.403075 36.322017
2026-05-10 0.916943 1.625231 2.874542 5.298894 10.032773 19.173813 38.928192
2026-05-17 0.882806 1.594591 2.876219 5.419594 10.509906 20.602904 43.068067
2026-05-24 0.831297 1.527635 2.805246 5.393116 10.691033 21.454731 46.075157
2026-05-31 0.767161 1.431932 2.672598 5.232866 10.583519 21.699159 47.768712
2026-06-07 0.722408 1.369758 2.598879 5.183562 10.699450 22.420843 50.621962
2026-06-14 0.701045 1.351334 2.608540 5.305236 11.188651 23.994329 55.651016
2026-06-21 0.680940 1.333759 2.618233 5.427234 11.689450 25.643833 61.073362
2026-06-28 0.651364 1.294843 2.581698 5.446868 11.963892 26.807983 65.449721